Modelling daily value-at-risk using realized volatility and ARCH type models

P Giot, S Laurent - Journal of empirical finance, 2004 - Elsevier
In this paper, we compare the performance of a daily ARCH type model (which uses daily
returns) with the performance of a model based on the daily realized volatility (which uses …

[PDF][PDF] Relationships between implied volatility indices and stock index returns

P Giot - Journal of Portfolio Management, 2005 - Citeseer
For the S&P100 and NASDAQ100 indices, we show that there is a negative and statistically
significant relationship between the returns of the stock and implied volatility (VIX and VXN) …

Value‐at‐risk for long and short trading positions

P Giot, S Laurent - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
… In Table III we present complete VaR results (ie P-values for the Kupiec LR test) for the
NASDAQ and NIKKEI stock indexes.16 In Table IV we give summary results for the six series. …

The logarithmic ACD model: an application to the bid-ask quote process of three NYSE stocks

L Bauwens, P Giot - Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, 2000 - JSTOR
This paper introduces the logarithmic autoregressive conditional duration (Log-ACD) model
and compares it with the ACD model of Engle and Russell [1998]. The logarithmic version …

IPOs, trade sales and liquidations: Modelling venture capital exits using survival analysis

P Giot, A Schwienbacher - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2007 - Elsevier
This paper examines the dynamics of exit options for US venture capital funds. Using a
sample of more than 20,000 investment rounds, we analyze the time to ‘IPO’, ‘trade sale’ and ‘…

Market risk in commodity markets: a VaR approach

P Giot, S Laurent - Energy Economics, 2003 - Elsevier
… Because daily returns are known to exhibit some serial autocorrelation, 9 we fit an AR(p)
structure on the r t series for all specifications:(1) r t =ρ 0 +ρ 1 r t−1 +⋯+ρ p r t−p +e t . We now …

News announcements, market activity and volatility in the euro/dollar foreign exchange market

L Bauwens, WB Omrane, P Giot - Journal of International Money and …, 2005 - Elsevier
… β mv t − 1 + ∑ p = 1 4 ( δ c , p cos x t , p + δ s , p sin x t , p ) + ∑ j = 1 9 η j z t , j + α ε t − 1 +
ε t , t = 1 , … , 1415 . The variable x t , p in the FFF is defined by:(5) x t , p = 2 π p n k N k for n k …

Trading activity, realized volatility and jumps

P Giot, S Laurent, M Petitjean - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2010 - Elsevier
… Second, every average p-value for the number of trades remains smaller than 5% while
only one single average p-value for the order imbalance is smaller than 10%. Third, only one …

A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts

L Bauwens, P Giot, J Grammig, D Veredas - International Journal of …, 2004 - Elsevier
… At first sight, testing whether this is true appears difficult because p i (x i ∣*… ) p(n i )= n n i p
n i (1−p) n−n i where n is the sample size, n i is the number of observations in the ith bin, and p

Market risk models for intraday data

P Giot - The European Journal of Finance, 2005 - Taylor & Francis
In this paper, market risk at an intraday time horizon is quantified using normal GARCH,
Student GARCH, RiskMetrics and high-frequency duration (log-ACD) models set in the …