Forecasting volatility in financial markets: A review

SH Poon, CWJ Granger - Journal of economic literature, 2003 - aeaweb.org
Financial market volatility is an important input for investment, option pricing, and financial
market regulation. The emphasis of this review article is on forecasting instead of modelling; …

Answering the skeptics: Yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts

TG Andersen, T Bollerslev - International economic review, 1998 - JSTOR
A voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial
market volatility using ARCH and stochastic volatility models. While most of these studies …

Deutsche mark–dollar volatility: intraday activity patterns, macroeconomic announcements, and longer run dependencies

TG Andersen, T Bollerslev - the Journal of Finance, 1998 - Wiley Online Library
This paper provides a detailed characterization of the volatility in the deutsche mark–dollar
foreign exchange market using an annual sample of five‐minute returns. The approach …

[BOOK][B] Non-linear time series models in empirical finance

PH Franses, D Van Dijk - 2000 - books.google.com
Although many of the models commonly used in empirical finance are linear, the nature of
financial data suggests that non-linear models are more appropriate for forecasting and …

Forecasting volatility

S Figlewski - Financial markets, institutions & instruments, 1997 - Wiley Online Library
This monograph puts together results from several lines of research that I have pursued over
a period of years, on the general topic of volatility forecasting for option pricing applications …

The dynamic relation between stock returns, trading volume, and volatility

G Chen, M Firth, OM Rui - Financial Review, 2001 - Wiley Online Library
We examine the dynamic relation between returns, volume, and volatility of stock indexes.
The data come from nine national markets and cover the period from 1973 to 2000. The …

[BOOK][B] A practical guide to forecasting financial market volatility

SH Poon - 2005 - books.google.com
Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for
professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation …

Forecasting financial market volatility: Sample frequency vis-a-vis forecast horizon

TG Andersen, T Bollerslev, S Lange - Journal of empirical finance, 1999 - Elsevier
This paper explores the return volatility predictability inherent in high-frequency speculative
returns. Our analysis focuses on a refinement of the more traditional volatility measures, the …

A peek into the future: Predicting the evolution of popularity in user generated content

M Ahmed, S Spagna, F Huici, S Niccolini - Proceedings of the sixth ACM …, 2013 - dl.acm.org
Content popularity prediction finds application in many areas, including media advertising,
content caching, movie revenue estimation, traffic management and macro-economic trends …

Does trading volume contain information to predict stock returns? Evidence from China's stock markets

CF Lee, OM Rui - Review of quantitative finance and accounting, 2000 - Springer
This paper examines empirical contemporaneous and causal relationships between trading
volume, stock returns and return volatility in China's four stock exchanges and across these …