The impact of extreme events on energy price risk

J Wen, XX Zhao, CP Chang - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
The nexus between extreme events and energy price risk is of great importance in energy
finance analysis due to the fact that those events generally exert strong impacts on energy …

Nonlinear dynamic correlation between geopolitical risk and oil prices: A study based on high-frequency data

J Huang, Q Ding, H Zhang, Y Guo… - Research in International …, 2021 - Elsevier
This study investigates the nonlinear dynamic correlations between geopolitical risk (GPR)
and oil prices using nonlinear Granger causality and DCC-MVGARCH methods based on …

Oil futures volatility predictability: New evidence based on machine learning models

X Lu, F Ma, J Xu, Z Zhang - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper comprehensively examines the connection between oil futures volatility and the
financial market based on a model-rich environment, which contains traditional predicting …

Time-varying rare disaster risks, oil returns and volatility

R Demirer, R Gupta, T Suleman, ME Wohar - Energy Economics, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper provides a novel perspective to the predictive ability of rare disaster risks for West
Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil market returns and volatility using a nonparametric quantile …

The dynamic impact of uncertainty in causing and forecasting the distribution of oil returns and risk

G Bonaccolto, M Caporin, R Gupta - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and …, 2018 - Elsevier
The aim of this study is to analyze the relevance of recently developed news-based
measures of economic policy and equity market uncertainty in causing and predicting the …

Liquidity and realized volatility prediction in Chinese stock market: A time-varying transitional dynamic perspective

Y Xu, J Liu, F Ma, J Chu - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
Basing on the features of emerging Chinese stock market, this article discusses whether
sharply deteriorating liquidity propels the stock market into a “crisis” state and investigates …

Pricing dynamics of natural gas futures

B Li - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
Growth in the natural gas market is pronounced since the shale gas boom. Natural gas has
become increasingly important in international trade, especially after the recent …

VIX futures pricing with affine jump-GARCH dynamics and variance-dependent pricing kernels

X Yang, P Wang, J Chen - Journal of Derivatives, 2019 - search.proquest.com
Volatility Index (VIX) futures are among the most actively traded contracts at the Chicago
Board Options Exchange, in response to the growing need for protection against volatility …

WTI crude oil option implied VaR and CVaR: An empirical application

G Barone‐Adesi, MA Finta, C Legnazzi… - Journal of …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Using option market data we derive naturally forward‐looking, nonparametric and model‐
free risk estimates, three desired characteristics hardly obtainable using historical returns …

[PDF][PDF] Forecasting value-at-risk of crude oil futures using a hybrid ARIMA-SVR-POT model

C Zhang, X Zhou - Heliyon, 2024 - cell.com
Forecasting the value at risk (VaR) of crude oil futures can be a challenging task for
investors due to the high volatility of these prices. It is crucial to describe the return in the tail …